DEMS IN DESPAIR – AT 7:59 A.M. ET: House Democrats are starting to realize the possibilities of a November disaster. From The Politico:
Top Democrats are growing markedly more pessimistic about holding the House, privately conceding that the summertime economic and political recovery they were banking on will not likely materialize by Election Day.
In conversations with more than two dozen party insiders, most of whom requested anonymity to speak candidly about the state of play, Democrats in and out of Washington say they are increasingly alarmed about the economic and polling data they have seen in recent weeks.
They no longer believe the jobs and housing markets will recover – or that anything resembling the White House’s promise of a “recovery summer” is under way. They are even more concerned by indications that House Democrats once considered safe – such as Rep. Betty Sutton, who occupies an Ohio seat that President Barack Obama won with 57 percent of the vote in 2008 – are in real trouble.
In two close races, endangered Democrats are even running ads touting how they oppose their leadership.
“Democrats kept thinking: ‘We’re going to get better. We’re going to get well before the election,’” said one of Washington’s best-connected Democrats. “But as of this week, you now have people saying that Republicans are going to win the House. And now it’s starting to look like the Senate is going to be a lot closer than people thought.”
A Democratic pollster working on several key races said, “The reality is that [the House majority] is probably gone.” His data shows the Democrats’ problems are only getting worse. “It’s spreading,” the pollster said.
COMMENT: That's encouraging, but it's only encouraging. The only poll that counts is the one on election day. Many of the races that Republicans are depending on are actually very close. A Democratic surge, or a successful fear campaign by the Dem leadership ("They'll take away your Social Security") may just reverse enough races to save things for the president's party. For our side it has to be work, work, work. Work as if you're 20 points behind. Then, we can smile.
August 26, 2010 |